INSTITUTIONAL RESEARCH

Historical Stress Episodes Through the Lens of KAAVACH 6D MSI™

The Market Stress Intelligence (MSI™) provides a multi-dimensional framework to decode the systemic DNA of past financial crises. By mapping historical regimes, we calibrate future risk detection with surgical precision.

SYSTEMIC RISK

2007 – 2009

Case Study I | The 2008 Global Financial Crisis

KAAVACH 6D MSI™ Interpretation: The engine registers extreme stress percentiles across Credit, Global Volatility and International Capital Velocity Vectors long before the domestic retail market realizes the depth of the crises.

MSI ALERT LEVEL

Extreme High

CORE DRIVER

Liquidity Void

CORRELATION SHIFT

May – Sept 2013

Case Study II | The 2013 Taper Tantrum

KAAVACH 6D MSI™ Interpretation: While surface equity prices move sideways, creating an illusion of stability, the engine flags severe macroeconomic stress building across foreign exchange, interest rate curves and international liquidity channels.

Asset Class Impact

Broad Market

BLACK SWAN

Feb – Mar 2020

Case Study III | The 2020 COVID-19 Liquidation Event

Focus on extreme sentiment asymmetry and rapid liquidity voids. During the flash-crash phase, the KAAVACH 6D MSI™ accurately mapped the ‘liquidation cascade’ where even safe-haven assets (Gold/Treasuries) were sold to cover margin calls.

KAAVACH INSIGHT

Sentiment reached its lower-bound threshold within 48 hours, triggering the 6D 'Global Contraction' alert 6 days ahead of the major indices bottoming.

FOCUS ON EXTREME SENTIMENT ASYMMETRY AND RAPID LIQUIDITY VOIDS. DURING THE FLASH-CRASH PHASE, THE KAAVACH 6D MSI™ ACCURATELY MAPPED THE ‘LIQUIDATION CASCADE’ WHERE EVEN SAFE-HAVEN ASSETS (GOLD/TREASURIES) WERE SOLD TO COVER MARGIN CALLS.

0.08

Focus on extreme sentiment asymmetry and rapid liquidity voids. During the flash-crash phase, the KAAVACH 6D MSI™ accurately mapped the ‘liquidation cascade’ where even safe-haven assets (Gold/Treasuries) were sold to cover margin calls.

REGIME SHIFT

2022 – Ongoing

Case Study IV | The 2022 Post-Pandemic Inflationary Tightening

Focus on regime shifts from expansion to contraction. The index tracked the ‘Great Repricing’ of duration risk, highlighting the first period in four decades where standard diversification (60/40) failed to provide protection.

Max Drawdown

-24.8%

Regime Type

Bear-Flat

PRESENT SCENARIO

2025 – 2026

Case Study V | 2025-2026 Geopolitical Tensions

Focus on macro-financial risk mapping and regional stress contagion. KAAVACH 6D MSI™ is currently monitoring fragmented trade flows and energy-linked debt exposures in emerging markets.

RISK PROB.

64%